Pakistan Market Intelligence Pro

Pakistan’s Hypersonic Strike Future Isn’t a Scramjet Cruise Missile – Why the Ballistic Path is the Real Goal

Photo of the Pakistan Army test-firing a Fatah 2 missile.

Hypersonic munitions have become a baseline requirement for major militaries. The United States, for example, plans to procure at least 10,000 of Castelion’s Blackbeard hypersonic missiles over the next three years, while Russia, Iran, and Pakistan have all claimed that they used “hypersonic” missiles in recent conflicts.

However, the term ‘hypersonic’ is loaded and vague when left unqualified. If left to the most basic standard, it could refer to a munition that flies faster than Mach 5, which, in turn, places very different types of munitions under one label and treats them equally.

In practice, however, most ‘hypersonic’ adoption currently leans on rocket boosters, in ballistic missiles, or glide vehicles such as the Blackbeard. Arguably, however, the gold standard for hypersonics is the air-breathing cruising missile, which uses a ramjet or a scramjet to stay under power at hypersonic speed.

Measured against that standard, complete hypersonic adoption arguably remains more elusive for most militaries, including the US, which has yet to field its own air-breathing Hypersonic Attack Cruise Missile. Yet, interestingly, the countries leading in terms of the air-breathing hypersonic stack is Asia’s leading power, China – with India rapidly closing in with its own indigenous technologies and solutions.

Defining a ‘Hypersonic Missile’

Air-Breathing Hypersonic Cruise Missiles

The US Congressional Budget Office (CBO) defines a hypersonic missile as “a missile that travels within the atmosphere (rather than above it) at speeds greater than Mach 5 and that can maneuver in the atmosphere for much of its flight.”

Thus, a ballistic missile that passes Mach 5 on descent, or manoeuvres only within its terminal phase, falls outside that definition. Prior to the Russia-Ukraine War, most had framed and anticipated that hypersonic missiles would be air-breathing systems.

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Bilal Khan

Bilal Khan

Founder of Quwa, Bilal has been researching Pakistani defence industry and security issues for over 15 years. His work has been cited by Pakistan's National Defence University (NDU), the Council of Foreign Relations, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, Centre of Airpower Studies and many others. He has a Hons. B.A in Political Science and Masters of Interntional Public Policy from Wilfrid Laurier University in Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.

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